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通讯产业前景一片大好

Telecommunications Industry Future Looks Bright

As bad as things sound, and between all the talk and banter(n.取笑,揶揄)of worldwide recession, financial meltdowns, global meltdown and the imminent end of the world in general, the telecommunications industry’s future seems quite bright, thank you very much.

In fact, worldwide telecommunications industry revenues are expected to grow at a healthy rate of eight percent over the next 5 years, according to a new market analysis study done by INSIGHT Research Corporation.

Telecommunications revenue, including narrowband(n.[通讯]窄带) and broadband(n.[通讯]宽带) landline(通信电缆), wireless and cellular services, as well as Internet communications are expected to grow from $2.1 trillion in 2008 to more than $3 trillion by 2013 even as margins(n.利润,盈余) on traditional voice-related products continue contracting(v.缩小) and the industry responds by shifting to an Internet Protocol (IP) communications fabric(通讯光纤).

With voice revenues shrinking faster than carriers(电信公司)’ abilities to cut costs, landline and cellular companies are turning to IP technology to help reduce overall costs of operations. The upside(n.优势) of this shift to IP communications technologies is that customers should see a downward trend in costs over the next half decade. The downside is that networks will be increasingly more susceptible to outside attacks, an alarming issue that was rarely seen or considered in traditional phone networks of the past 100 years.

“The Future of Telecommunications 2008-2013″ evaluates revenue and subscriber growth in North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Americas, and Africa. Capital expenditures are also estimated by region and equipment class(n.分类).

在全球萧条、经济崩溃和世界即将走到尽头的玩笑间,很感谢,通讯产业的未来还是一片光明。
事实上,根据来自纽泽西州总公司(专门进行通讯市场调查的美国公司)的一份新的市场分析研究显示,在未来的5年内,预计全球电信行业的收入将保持每年8%的良好增长势头。
据统计,即使在传统的语音相关类产品的利润持续萎缩,行业因此转向IP通讯光纤的背景之下,包括窄带和宽带电缆、无线和蜂窝网络业务以及因特网通讯在内的所有通讯业收入将从2008年的2.1万亿美元增长至2013年超过3万亿美元。
由于语音产品收入的不断萎缩,程度远超过了电信公司削减成本的能力,一些通讯电缆公司和手机公司正在向IP技术转移以助其减少运营开支。这种向IP通讯技术转移有利的一面在于用户将在未来的5年内看到通讯产品的价格不断下滑。然而,不利的一面在于,这种网络技术更易受到外界的攻击,这是在过去100年内的传统通讯网络中很少顾及到的一个值得警惕的问题。
《2008至2013的通讯业未来》对北美、欧洲、亚太、美洲和非洲地区的通讯业收入和用户增长情况做了评估,同时根据地区和设备分类也对资本支出作了估算。

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